Economic Sanctions Create Hunger, But Not Political Change

September 3, 2026      An analysis published in the New Arab explains that economic sanctions, part of economic warfare, disproportionately hurt the poorest segments of populations, while rarely achieving intended political goals.  It cites decades of research about how sanctions increase hunger among the most vulnerable citizens.

The authors, Jamal I. Haidar and Seyed M. Karimi on Sept 1 describe how economic sanctions make foods unaffordable for the already-worst-off.  “These are not abstractions. They represent real losses in nutrition, health, education, and dignity for millions of families who have no voice in the geopolitical disputes that triggered their impoverishment.”

The article, “The Sanctions Illusion” elaborates that “anyone who claims to care about the ethics of coercive statecraft must confront its distributional realities with the same rigour applied to questions of military tactics.  …Cross-country research spanning decades has documented that economic sanctions reduce GDP growth, widen income inequality, increase child mortality, limit access to health care, and expand food insecurity in target states. These are not marginal effects.  …Another documented that UN sanctions reduced life expectancy by 1.2–1.4 years. These are statistics of mass harm, describing damage done to households, not palaces.”

The research of Sylvanus Afesorgbo is referenced.  Looking at global experiences, he finds:  “Sanctions significantly increases the composite index of global hunger index (GHI), and also adversely affect the availability and stability dimensions of food security.”

The authors note that the theory of sanctions is to pressure target governments in ways that do not happen.  Contrary to theory, authoritarian governments avoid the pains falling on their hungriest citizens.  “The question is not whether states should have foreign-policy tools, but whether any tool that imposes the scale of civilian harm documented in the sanctions literature can be considered legitimate under the same ethical and legal frameworks we apply to armed conflict.”

The authors argue that the laws of war do not allow disproportionate targeting of the poor, and therefore economic sanctions should be held to the same scrutiny.   “The civilian harm they inflict is treated as regrettable collateral damage rather than a direct moral consequence of the sanctioning state’s choices.”

The authors’ argument:  “financial sanctions, as currently practised, rarely achieve their strategic objectives, and they inflict predictable, severe, and regressive harm on civilian populations who bear no responsibility for the policies sanctions are meant to punish. Such harms are not more humane; they are harder to see and easier to ignore.”

About the authors: Jamal Haidar is the Chair of the Economics Dept. at the Lebanese American University (chartered in New York); and Seyed  Karimi is Chair of the Department of Health Management and Systems Sciences at the University of Louisville, based in Kentucky.

 

– Contributed by Steven Hansch

 

2026 State of Food Insecurity & Nutrition in the World

August 19, 2026          Global malnutrition has declined according to the new 2026 State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World (SOFI) report (jointly by FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP, and WHO; focus: “Understanding and addressing the high cost of a healthy diet”).  SOFI has become an annual common reference about global malnutrition.  The image above left from the 2026 report shows the reports trend analysis of the decline in the number of under-nourished children worldwide.

It estimates that 645 million people were hungry during 2025, while approximately 2.7 billion could not afford a healthy diet. The improvement in global prevalence occured while there was deterioration in parts of Africa and some conflict-affected countries.

For the first time, Africa recorded the highest absolute number of undernourished people at 309 million, surpassing Asia.  The average global cost of a healthy diet rose to $4.28 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) per person per day in 2025, up from $3.44 in 2021. As a result, almost 2.69 billion people (roughly one-third of humanity) could not afford a healthy diet.

SOFI about prevalence of malnutrition:

“In Africa [it] decreased from a peak of 20.3 percent in 2024 to 20.0 percent in 2025, still nearly 4 percentage points higher than in 2015 when the SDG Agenda was launched.  However, this marginal improvement in prevalence from 2024 to 2025 did not translate into a decrease in the absolute number of people facing hunger, due to the growing size of the population in Africa.”

Looking at general dietary diversity, including micronutrients:  In Africa, 66.6% of the population could not afford a healthy diet in 2025, compared to 28.9% in Asia and 25.7% in Latin America.

For these balanced diets with micronutrients:  An estimated ~30.8% of children aged 6–23 months get a minimally diverse diet (largely unchanged over a decade); ~62.7% of women aged 15–49 meet minimum dietary diversity.

These trends suggest that hunger is not inevitable when supported by economic policies, social protection, and investments in agrifood systems—but progress remains slow and insufficient for the 2030 Zero Hunger target of many governments and the SDG.

Projections still point to ~510–520 million people being hungry in 2030, with ongoing, uncertain risks from conflicts, El Niño, and reduced financing.

The report presents scenarios of progress against Zero Hunger targes by continent and scenarios, extrapolating from the experiences of recent decades.

To access the full report:  as PDF

– Contributed by WHES Board member, Steven Hansch