Nine years of neglect: federal minimum wage remains unchanged for ninth straight year, falls to lowest level in more than half a century

Jared Bernstein and Isaac Shapiro[1]

(Washington, August 31, 2006) The federal minimum wage has remained at $5.15 an hour since September 1, 1997.  So as of September 1, 2006, the minimum wage will have remained the same for nine years, while the costs of medical care, gasoline, and other necessities have grown considerably.  Further, the minimum wage has fallen exceptionally far below the wages of other workers, including the nation’s CEOs.

• This lack of Congressional action is approaching an unprecedented stretch.  Since the inception of the minimum wage, there has been only one other period in which the minimum wage has remained unchanged for more than nine years.  The minimum wage remained the same for the nine-year-and-three-month period from January 1981 until April 1990.

• While since September 1997 the minimum wage has remained at $5.15 an hour, the cost-of-living has risen by 26 percent.  After adjusting for inflation, the value of the minimum wage is at its lowest level since 1955.

• The minimum wage now equals just 31 percent of the average wage for private sector, nonsupervisory workers.  This is the lowest share since at least the end of World War II.

This December 1st will mark nine years and three months since the last increase.  Thus, unless Congress acts quickly, so that a federal minimum wage increase is actually put into place before then, on December 2nd the federal minimum wage will have remained at the same level for the longest period since it was established.

 Adjustments to the Wage Floor

The federal minimum wage has never included a feature by which it automatically increases each year to ensure that it maintains its purchasing power.  As a result, Congress has to act to provide such adjustments. 

These adjustments have not always occurred in a timely fashion.  Nonetheless, from 1938 to 1981, they did occur with enough regularity that the minimum wage generally either rose in purchasing power or remained relatively stable in real value.

Then from January 1981 to April 1990 the value of the minimum wage was frozen at $3.35 an hour, the longest period without an adjustment in the wage floor.  As a result, the minimum wage eroded markedly in value.

Two series of minimum wage increases took effect in the 1990s, the first of which was signed into law by the senior President Bush.  These served to restore some of the lost value of the minimum wage.  But the last of that series of increases took effect in September 1997, when the federal minimum was raised to its current level of $5.15 an hour.

Minimum Wage has Remained the Same While the Cost of Living Has Risen

One standard for assessing the value of the minimum wage is to track its buying power; that is, to adjust its value to take into account changes in the cost of living.  Each year that Congress fails to raise the wage floor and that the cost-of-living rises, the purchasing power of the minimum wage erodes.  Thus, the fact that the minimum wage has remained the same for nine years means that its real value has declined considerably over this period.

• The real value of the minimum wage peaked in 1968, when it was equivalent to a wage of $7.73 an hour.[2]  During the 1970s, the wage floor averaged $6.92 an hour in today’s dollars.

• Since September 1, 1997, the overall inflation rate has increased by 26 percent.  The costs of certain necessities have risen even more sharply.  A gallon of gas costs more than twice as much as it did nine years ago; the cost of medical care increased by 43 percent.  (See Table 1.)

• Once an adjustment for inflation is taken into account, the purchasing power of the minimum wage has now declined to its lowest level since 1955.  (See Figure 1 and Table 2.)

 Minimum Wage has Fallen Far Below the Wages of Other Workers

The federal minimum wage has also often been set with the wage level of other workers in mind.  This approach reflects the principle that minimum-wage workers should share in economic gains and should not fall too far behind other workers

• During the 1950s and the 1960s, the minimum wage averaged 50 percent — or half — the average wage of workers in nonsupervisory positions.

• The minimum wage has now fallen to 31 percent — or less than one-third — of the average hourly wage for nonsupervisory workers of $16.76 in July.  This is the lowest share in the history of this data series, which begins in 1947.  (See Figure 2 and Table 2.)[3]

• Research has shown that the fall in the relative value of the minimum wage has contributed to the persistent increase in wage inequality since the latter 1970s.[4]

The minimum wage has also remained stagnant while the pay of chief executive officers has risen sharply.  As a result, the gap between the pay of CEOs and the minimum wage has grown dramatically.  For example, in 1978, even before the gap began to grow quickly, the average CEO was still paid 78 times as much as a full-time year-round worker earning the minimum wage.  By 2005, the average CEO was paid 821 times as much as a minimum wage earner; this is the widest discrepancy on record.  As an earlier report from the Economic Policy Institute observed:  “An average CEO earns more before lunchtime on the very first day of work in the year than a minimum wage worker earns all year.”[5]

1] Jared Bernstein is Director of the Living Standards program at the Economic Policy Institute.  Isaac Shapiro is an associate director at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities is a nonpartisan research organization and policy institute that conducts research and analysis on a range of government policies and priorities, with an emphasis on those affecting low- and moderate-income people. See the full report at http://www.cbpp.org/8-31-06mw.htm.
 

End notes

[2] We adjust for inflation using the CPI-RS (research series).  The “RS” is a historically consistent series used by many analysts, including the US Bureau of the Census, to adjust for price changes.  Relative to the more commonly used CPI-U, the CPI-RS grows more slowly, meaning that the real minimum wage deflated by the CPI-U has a higher peak level: $9.11 in 1968 in today’s dollars.  Real values in this report are based on the growth of the price index through July of this year.

[3] The table indicates that the minimum wage was also 31 percent of the average private nonsupervisory wage in 1949, apparently the same as currently.  This similarity reflects rounding.  More precise calculations indicate the minimum wage currently is a slightly smaller share of the average wage than in 1949.

[4] See, for example, David Lee, “Inequality in the United States During the 1980s: Rising Dispersion or Falling Minimum Wage? Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1999, 114(3), 1977-1023.

[5] Lawrence Mishel, “CEO pay-to-minimum wage ratio soars,” Economic Policy Institute, June 27, 2006

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